If the United States is on the verge of entering another recessionβas many economists suggestβit wouldnβt exactly be unprecedented. Far from it.
Over the past 100 years, the U.S. has averaged a recession roughly every 6 to 10 years. That means downturns arenβt rare eventsβtheyβre practically built into the rhythm of the economy.
So, while todayβs fears about a looming recession are widespread, this wouldnβt be a shocking curveball. It would simply be history doing what it always does.
Americans have had ample time to prepare. But the real question is: are we prepared the right way?
The Case for Gold: Protection During the Storm
In times of economic uncertainty, gold has historically held its valueβeven when other assets tumble. Thatβs why financial planners often recommend holding a portion of your portfolio in gold or gold-backed assets.
If a recession hits and you suddenly need liquidityβwhether for emergency expenses or living costsβyou donβt want to be forced to sell stocks at a loss or dip into retirement accounts when values are down. Thatβs where gold becomes more than just a shiny commodity: it becomes a strategic lifeline.
By maintaining its purchasing power during downturns, gold allows you to tap into funds without liquidating other depreciated investments, buying you time and flexibility until the market recovers.
The Signs Were There
Three years ago, just as the U.S. economy was bouncing back from the brief COVID-19 recession, economists were already warning of another slowdown. War in Ukraine, surging inflation, and rapidly rising interest rates signaled turbulence ahead.
Although a recession didnβt materialize immediately, itβs clear the economy has entered a βslow patch,β according to Wells Fargoβs investment strategist Veronica Willis. And now, fears are creeping back.
A recent CNBC Fed Survey placed the probability of a recession at 36%βup significantly from earlier in the year. J.P. Morganβs chief economist puts the odds at 40%.
Protecting Yourself: Steps to Take Now
Whether youβre struggling to make ends meet or part of the top 1%, these financial strategies can help you stay resilient:
- Eliminate High-Interest Debt
Credit card debt is brutal in any economy, but during a recession, it can be crushing. With rates averaging 24.2%, paying off high-interest balances should be a priority.
- Build Emergency Savings
Experts recommend three to six months’ worth of expenses in a high-yield savings account. But remember: even a smaller cushion is better than none.
- Plan for Major Expenses
Whether itβs a new car or medical bills, planning now can prevent you from draining savings or selling assets when the market is down.
- Avoid Selling Low
If your portfolio takes a hit, resist the urge to sell in a panic. Markets recoverβbut only if you give them time. If youβre retired, consider using cash or gold holdings to cover expenses instead of selling undervalued stocks.
- Diversifyβand Include Gold
A well-balanced portfolio is critical in volatile times. Beyond stocks and bonds, consider precious metals like gold, which tend to perform well when traditional markets falter.
The Real Value of Gold
Itβs not just about growthβitβs about preservation. Gold doesnβt need to spike in value to be useful. Its ability to hold steady during financial crises is what makes it so powerful.
In a world where recessions occur regularlyβnearly once a decade on averageβowning gold isnβt about predicting the next downturn. Itβs about expecting it and being ready when it comes.
Because when the economy slips, your goal shouldnβt be to panicβit should be to pivot. And gold lets you do just that.